| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
140,000 |
0.835 |
$116,899.98 |
$15,130.08 |
+14.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
80,000 |
0.855 |
$68,400.02 |
$21,163.04 |
+44.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
99,970 |
0.675 |
$67,479.68 |
$6,592.72 |
+10.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
57,093 |
0.823 |
$46,958.86 |
$16,423.78 |
+53.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
48,820 |
0.850 |
$41,472.52 |
$9,753.93 |
+30.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
38,032 |
0.615 |
$23,389.78 |
$1,531.21 |
+7.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
24,219 |
0.959 |
$23,214.29 |
$584.92 |
+2.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.885 |
$22,125.01 |
$6,749.25 |
+43.9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20,000 |
0.905 |
$18,100.03 |
$4,871.05 |
+36.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
22,000 |
0.785 |
$17,270.01 |
$6,356.70 |
+58.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.765 |
$15,300.03 |
$4,105.35 |
+36.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.940 |
$14,100.06 |
$1,197.28 |
+9.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
8,000 |
0.987 |
$7,896.00 |
$165.01 |
+2.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7,243 |
0.999 |
$7,232.45 |
$2,451.86 |
+51.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.997 |
$5,979.00 |
$103.00 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
7,014 |
0.675 |
$4,734.61 |
$724.61 |
+18.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
4,398 |
0.999 |
$4,391.70 |
$1,399.23 |
+46.8% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
4,058 |
0.945 |
$3,834.41 |
$182.59 |
+5.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5,013 |
0.715 |
$3,584.47 |
$699.74 |
+24.3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.820 |
$2,460.00 |
$150.00 |
+6.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.855 |
$2,137.50 |
$40.58 |
+1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.685 |
$1,370.00 |
$530.00 |
+63.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.964 |
$963.50 |
$163.50 |
+20.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
975 |
0.940 |
$915.73 |
$320.04 |
+53.7% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? |
No |
710 |
0.895 |
$635.79 |
$44.73 |
+7.6% |