PnL (30d)

+$165

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+29.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

4,486W / 4,149L · 451 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

4,575W / 4,209L · 302 open

Trades (30d)

9,086

across 1,394 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.13

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.73

$391 won / $226 lost

Reward / Risk

3.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.5% 34,893W/37,093L	17850	$14,657
⚽ Sports	18.3% 218W/973L	1103	$678
🏛 Politics	64.2% 508W/283L	588	$370
🌤 Weather	46.4% 1,270W/1,467L	503	$363
₿ Crypto	47.0% 507W/572L	478	$246
🎬 Culture	61.2% 614W/390L	436	$295
💵 Economy	41.8% 224W/312L	361	$258
🤖 Tech	62.7% 79W/47L	136	$64
🔬 Science	22.2% 2W/7L	12	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 9?	Yes	100	0.493	$49.30	$49.00	+16333.3%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 9?	Yes	100	0.490	$49.00	$48.70	+16233.3%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 8?	Yes	100	0.488	$48.85	$48.55	+16118.5%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 8?	Yes	100	0.485	$48.50	$48.20	+16002.3%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next?	Yes	100	0.481	$48.10	$47.75	+13686.2%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next?	Yes	100	0.455	$45.50	$45.10	+11275.0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	100	0.450	$45.00	$44.80	+22400.0%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	90	0.495	$44.59	$44.41	+24675.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Charlotte FC next?	Yes	100	0.437	$43.70	$43.52	+23792.8%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next?	Yes	100	0.434	$43.40	$42.52	+4827.9%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?	Yes	94	0.447	$41.87	$40.93	+4370.0%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	99	0.382	$37.92	$37.69	+16486.9%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?	Yes	80	0.470	$37.81	$37.41	+9298.7%
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	100	0.371	$37.15	$36.91	+15535.5%
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in August?	Yes	100	0.370	$37.05	$36.15	+4016.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August?	Yes	100	0.370	$37.05	$36.15	+4016.7%
Will Aljaž Ivačič win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	Yes	100	0.366	$36.65	$36.01	+5602.5%
Will Joey Bosa play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?	Yes	91	0.401	$36.55	$36.29	+13989.9%
Will GIANTX Win an International Event in 2026?	Yes	70	0.500	$35.00	$34.86	+24900.0%
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	100	0.349	$34.95	$34.75	+17374.9%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	100	0.323	$32.30	$32.10	+16050.0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	97	0.322	$31.30	$31.01	+10633.3%
Will George Pickens play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	Yes	100	0.298	$29.85	$29.70	+19346.3%
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	100	0.295	$29.55	$29.23	+9122.8%
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?	Yes	79	0.372	$29.39	$28.65	+3865.9%