PnL (30d)

+$111

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$223

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+46.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

1,019W / 865L · 1,283 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

2,169W / 953L · 45 open

Trades (30d)

3,167

across 756 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.21

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.06

$215 won / $104 lost

Reward / Risk

6.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.5% 34,633W/36,761L	17656	$14,492
⚽ Sports	17.7% 207W/960L	1029	$620
🏛 Politics	66.1% 505W/259L	555	$350
🌤 Weather	47.2% 1,215W/1,357L	502	$362
₿ Crypto	48.2% 454W/488L	445	$232
🎬 Culture	61.3% 614W/388L	418	$288
💵 Economy	41.7% 219W/306L	336	$249
🤖 Tech	62.7% 79W/47L	106	$56
🔬 Science	22.2% 2W/7L	12	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next?	Yes	100	0.484	$48.40	$48.05	+13772.2%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	100	0.460	$45.95	$45.75	+22875.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Charlotte FC next?	Yes	100	0.455	$45.45	$45.27	+24749.6%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next?	Yes	100	0.452	$45.15	$44.27	+5026.6%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next?	Yes	100	0.447	$44.65	$44.25	+11062.5%
Will Jwei Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	90	0.489	$44.05	$43.88	+24375.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?	Yes	94	0.450	$42.10	$41.16	+4395.0%
Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	100	0.395	$39.45	$39.24	+18784.6%
Will Aljaž Ivačič win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	Yes	100	0.378	$37.75	$37.11	+5773.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in August?	Yes	100	0.370	$37.05	$36.15	+4016.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August?	Yes	100	0.370	$37.05	$36.15	+4016.7%
Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	100	0.359	$35.95	$35.75	+17874.9%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?	Yes	80	0.443	$35.60	$35.20	+8749.4%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	97	0.361	$35.14	$34.85	+11950.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	100	0.334	$33.35	$33.05	+10838.0%
Will George Pickens play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	Yes	100	0.311	$31.10	$30.95	+20160.6%
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?	Yes	80	0.384	$30.76	$30.01	+3993.8%
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	99	0.302	$30.00	$29.81	+15025.0%
Will George Pickens play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27?	Yes	100	0.298	$29.80	$29.60	+14800.0%
Will Mikey Varas win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	73	0.393	$28.62	$28.44	+16226.9%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	96	0.266	$25.49	$25.20	+8750.0%
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	Yes	100	0.249	$24.95	$24.05	+2672.2%
Exact Score: Ceará SC 0 - 3 AA Ponte Preta?	Yes	100	0.247	$24.75	$24.18	+4258.1%
Will Joey Bosa play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?	Yes	91	0.270	$24.56	$24.30	+9369.4%
Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	98	0.249	$24.30	$23.33	+2410.3%