| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
17,619 |
0.845 |
$14,887.92 |
$697.95 |
+4.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
14,296 |
0.785 |
$11,222.44 |
$2,772.08 |
+32.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
13,867 |
0.805 |
$11,163.01 |
$2,903.84 |
+35.2% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
12,155 |
0.830 |
$10,088.97 |
$2,843.97 |
+39.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
11,864 |
0.675 |
$8,008.47 |
$1,008.49 |
+14.4% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
10,871 |
0.675 |
$7,338.02 |
$261.12 |
+3.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
9,545 |
0.745 |
$7,110.78 |
$1,463.82 |
+25.9% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
10,108 |
0.665 |
$6,721.77 |
$537.33 |
+8.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
7,069 |
0.905 |
$6,397.62 |
$433.19 |
+7.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
6,000 |
0.924 |
$5,546.99 |
$303.00 |
+5.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
6,501 |
0.840 |
$5,460.76 |
$204.27 |
+3.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11,002 |
0.495 |
$5,445.89 |
$-1,141.01 |
-17.3% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
5,964 |
0.725 |
$4,324.20 |
$-359.34 |
-7.7% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
4,419 |
0.875 |
$3,866.76 |
$1,037.47 |
+36.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
4,044 |
0.935 |
$3,780.76 |
$780.76 |
+26.0% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
10,323 |
0.355 |
$3,664.74 |
$464.75 |
+14.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
5,580 |
0.605 |
$3,376.04 |
$273.86 |
+8.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
2,708 |
0.890 |
$2,410.51 |
$381.23 |
+18.8% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
3,244 |
0.715 |
$2,319.44 |
$438.61 |
+23.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
11,115 |
0.205 |
$2,278.52 |
$-1,307.26 |
-36.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
5,306 |
0.400 |
$2,122.52 |
$-259.47 |
-10.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,945 |
0.720 |
$2,120.43 |
$717.52 |
+51.1% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
2,495 |
0.645 |
$1,609.59 |
$1,419.09 |
+744.9% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5,791 |
0.278 |
$1,607.10 |
$-211.11 |
-11.6% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
3,450 |
0.418 |
$1,443.85 |
$778.81 |
+117.1% |