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Trader leaderboard/541410

541410

0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$69
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
7W / 26L · 143 open
Win Return (30d)
9%
11W / 111L · 54 open
Trades (30d)
176
across 62 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.57
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,134 · all-time $144,263

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 7.8% 24W/285L 412 $20,054
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 19 $900
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 17 $736
🏛 Politics 16 $918
⚽ Sports 10 $441
🤖 Tech 6 $254
₿ Crypto 4 $290
🔬 Science 2 $77

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 100 0.625 $62.50 $-13.50 -17.8%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.575 $57.50 $-13.50 -19.0%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 50 0.665 $33.25 $-11.25 -25.3%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? No 50 0.650 $32.50 $-3.50 -9.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes 50 0.645 $32.25 $-5.25 -14.0%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? No 50 0.465 $23.25 $-7.25 -23.8%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? Yes 50 0.450 $22.50 $-14.50 -39.2%
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 50 0.440 $22.00 $-10.50 -32.3%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? No 50 0.360 $18.00 $-6.00 -25.0%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? Yes 50 0.345 $17.24 $-8.26 -32.4%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes 50 0.265 $13.25 $-11.25 -45.9%
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? Yes 50 0.250 $12.50 $-5.50 -30.6%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Yes 50 0.140 $7.00 $-7.50 -51.7%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31? No 50 0.125 $6.25 $-12.25 -66.2%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 20 0.270 $5.40 $-3.80 -41.3%
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-27.25 -85.2%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 50 0.071 $3.54 $-34.45 -90.7%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Yes 50 0.065 $3.25 $-8.75 -72.9%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.023 $2.30 $-23.70 -91.2%
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.035 $0.71 $-16.69 -95.9%
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? Yes 20 0.005 $0.11 $-6.49 -98.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? Yes 15 0.007 $0.11 $-8.21 -98.7%