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Trader leaderboard/541410

541410

0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065
PnL (30d)
−$390
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$600
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
24W / 283L · 755 open
Win Return (30d)
6%
43W / 722L · 297 open
Trades (30d)
1,062
across 412 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.31
avg win $14 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.18
$85 won / $475 lost
Reward / Risk
3.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$54
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,134 · all-time $144,263

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 7.8% 24W/283L 412 $20,054
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 23 $1,285
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 18 $752
🏛 Politics 17 $959
⚽ Sports 14 $564
🤖 Tech 7 $370
₿ Crypto 4 $290
🔬 Science 2 $77

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 100 0.685 $68.50 $-7.50 -9.9%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.575 $57.50 $-13.50 -19.0%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 50 0.710 $35.50 $-9.00 -20.2%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? No 50 0.650 $32.50 $-3.50 -9.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes 50 0.645 $32.25 $-5.25 -14.0%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? No 50 0.465 $23.25 $-7.25 -23.8%
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 50 0.440 $22.00 $-10.50 -32.3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? Yes 50 0.440 $22.00 $-15.00 -40.5%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? No 50 0.380 $19.00 $-5.00 -20.8%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? Yes 50 0.350 $17.50 $-8.00 -31.4%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes 50 0.265 $13.25 $-11.25 -45.9%
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? Yes 50 0.250 $12.50 $-5.50 -30.6%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Yes 50 0.140 $7.00 $-7.50 -51.7%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31? No 50 0.130 $6.50 $-12.00 -64.9%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 20 0.270 $5.40 $-3.80 -41.3%
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? Yes 50 0.105 $5.25 $-26.75 -83.6%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 50 0.072 $3.60 $-34.40 -90.5%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Yes 50 0.065 $3.25 $-8.75 -72.9%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.018 $1.80 $-24.20 -93.1%
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.035 $0.71 $-16.69 -95.9%
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? Yes 20 0.005 $0.11 $-6.49 -98.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? Yes 15 0.007 $0.11 $-8.21 -98.7%