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Trader leaderboard/FisheBeta

FisheBeta

0x607066b9542b4587da028c1b91403bf5f83a8a11
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 16L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
16%
3W / 16L
Trades (30d)
19
across 2 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$4.63
· loss $5
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $980 · all-time $764,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 176W/166L 71 $2,807
🏛 Politics 1 $6
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 30 0.385 $11.54 $5.54 +92.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 11 0.945 $10.23 $4.93 +92.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 16 0.365 $5.75 $-0.55 -8.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 30 0.160 $4.88 $-0.30 -5.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 24 0.203 $4.78 $-0.46 -8.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 7 0.603 $4.21 $-0.88 -17.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 7 0.521 $3.69 $-1.55 -29.6%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? Yes 75 0.036 $2.73 $-3.26 -54.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 8 0.305 $2.50 $-2.66 -51.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 16 0.115 $1.85 $-3.46 -65.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 10 0.175 $1.78 $-3.40 -65.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 16 0.105 $1.63 $-3.80 -70.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? No 11 0.130 $1.42 $-3.81 -72.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 3 0.380 $1.30 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 46 0.021 $0.98 $-4.08 -80.5%