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Trader leaderboard/FisheBeta

FisheBeta

0x607066b9542b4587da028c1b91403bf5f83a8a11
PnL (30d)
−$23
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
176W / 166L · 201 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
289W / 252L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
543
across 71 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$0.57
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.58
$32 won / $55 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $966 · all-time $764,118

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 176W/166L 71 $2,807
🏛 Politics 1 $6
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 30 0.375 $11.24 $5.24 +87.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 11 0.935 $10.13 $4.82 +90.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 16 0.365 $5.75 $-0.55 -8.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 30 0.165 $5.03 $-0.15 -2.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 24 0.195 $4.59 $-0.65 -12.4%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 7 0.604 $4.21 $-0.88 -17.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 7 0.490 $3.47 $-1.77 -33.8%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? Yes 75 0.038 $2.85 $-3.14 -52.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 8 0.275 $2.25 $-2.91 -56.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 10 0.175 $1.78 $-3.40 -65.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 16 0.110 $1.77 $-3.54 -66.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? No 11 0.145 $1.58 $-3.65 -69.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 16 0.075 $1.16 $-4.26 -78.6%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 46 0.013 $0.62 $-4.44 -87.7%