cubsy
0x5edac84d3078a6de72d8c67aa6495d3ff095d453
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$365
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-49.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
9%
4W / 43L
Win Return (30d)
9%
4W / 43L
Trades (30d)
47
across 4 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$91.37
avg win $11 · loss $125
Profit Factor
0.03
$11 won / $376 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$186
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,458 · all-time $227,938
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,173 |
0.966 |
$1,132.49 |
$41.64 |
+3.8% |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
417 |
0.968 |
$404.05 |
$15.86 |
+4.1% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
344 |
0.946 |
$325.18 |
$12.71 |
+4.1% |
| Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings |
Yes |
180 |
0.650 |
$117.00 |
$57.60 |
+97.0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal |
Yes |
210 |
0.205 |
$43.05 |
$-7.35 |
-14.6% |
| Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? |
No |
102 |
0.395 |
$40.28 |
$24.88 |
+161.6% |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.170 |
$27.28 |
$-12.00 |
-30.6% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Yes |
770 |
0.026 |
$20.41 |
$10.39 |
+103.8% |