PnL (30d)

+$630

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$228

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

124W / 140L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

140W / 156L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

298

across 83 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$9.13

avg win $37 · loss $40

Profit Factor

1.63

$1,633 won / $1,003 lost

Reward / Risk

0.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$211

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.0% 124W/140L	83	$28,746
🏛 Politics	83.3% 10W/2L	5	$1,214
🎬 Culture	80.0% 4W/1L	4	$506
🌤 Weather	11.4% 4W/31L	3	$211
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	3	$1,051
₿ Crypto	—	2	$701
⚽ Sports	—	1	$59
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$74

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	1,173	0.966	$1,132.49	$41.64	+3.8%
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	417	0.970	$404.89	$16.70	+4.3%
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	344	0.948	$325.87	$13.40	+4.3%
Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	Yes	180	0.650	$117.00	$57.60	+97.0%
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	160	0.215	$34.51	$-4.78	-12.2%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	770	0.023	$17.71	$7.70	+76.9%
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?	No	102	0.095	$9.69	$-5.71	-37.1%