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Trader

0x5dc2ae7a9502a298fb059df0135906ffecca4837
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$47
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
10W / 3L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
12W / 4L
Trades (30d)
16
across 11 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.69
avg win $3 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.77
$21 won / $27 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,820 · all-time $609,687

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 77.4% 271W/79L 226 $53,205
🌤 Weather 100.0% 10W/0L 10 $1,066
₿ Crypto 70.0% 7W/3L 7 $321
🎬 Culture 57.1% 4W/3L 4 $179
🏛 Politics 2 $425
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $51
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,300 0.835 $1,085.50 $-6.50 -0.6%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 400 0.955 $381.79 $-0.20 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5? No 210 0.994 $208.74 $-1.05 -0.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No 150 0.989 $148.28 $-0.25 -0.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5? No 125 1.000 $124.94 $0.10 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? No 98 0.988 $96.78 $-1.02 -1.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? No 85 1.000 $84.96 $1.66 +2.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 75 0.981 $73.54 $0.04 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 60 1.000 $59.97 $1.17 +2.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No 60 0.992 $59.48 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $3.98 +8.6%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.765 $45.90 $1.50 +3.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 20 0.853 $17.05 $1.07 +6.7%
HYPE Up or Down on August 5? Up 12 0.925 $11.10 $0.30 +2.8%
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 60 0.115 $6.90 $-5.10 -42.5%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 150 0.028 $4.12 $-10.88 -72.5%