PnL (30d)

−$188

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$215

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

77%

271W / 79L · 46 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

298W / 92L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

396

across 220 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.91

avg win $7 · loss $86

Profit Factor

0.88

$1,359 won / $1,548 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	77.4% 271W/79L	220	$52,584
🌤 Weather	100.0% 10W/0L	10	$1,066
₿ Crypto	70.0% 7W/3L	8	$1,413
🎬 Culture	57.1% 4W/3L	4	$179
🏛 Politics	—	2	$425
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$51
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,300	0.840	$1,092.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	400	0.952	$380.59	$-1.40	-0.4%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	150	0.991	$148.57	$0.05	+0.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	75	0.981	$73.54	$0.04	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	60	0.992	$59.48	$-0.03	-0.1%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	60	0.765	$45.90	$1.50	+3.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	20	0.850	$16.99	$1.01	+6.3%
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	60	0.075	$4.50	$-7.50	-62.5%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	150	0.018	$2.62	$-12.38	-82.5%