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Trader leaderboard/nobody12138

nobody12138

0x5d2c7a78ce01fe6111a67bddea43bc0b9bf0baf2
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$17
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
86W / 101L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
86W / 105L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
203
across 139 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.13
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.16
$122 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $207 · all-time $15,323

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.2% 206W/230L 340 $1,339
⚽ Sports 46.9% 15W/17L 25 $107
₿ Crypto 30.0% 3W/7L 8 $31
🎬 Culture 14.3% 1W/6L 6 $27
🏛 Politics 33.3% 2W/4L 6 $20
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 4 $9
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 5 0.995 $4.97 $1.06 +27.2%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 5 0.982 $4.91 $1.12 +29.7%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 5 0.885 $4.42 $0.52 +13.5%
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $0.12 +3.0%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No 5 0.765 $3.83 $-0.12 -3.2%
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes 6 0.665 $3.69 $0.75 +25.5%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 5 0.644 $3.22 $0.16 +5.2%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 3 0.984 $3.19 $0.17 +5.8%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No 7 0.445 $3.03 $0.10 +3.5%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.440 $2.20 $-0.30 -12.0%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 3 0.445 $1.15 $-0.86 -42.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 5 0.215 $1.07 $-2.88 -72.8%
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No 1 0.876 $0.99 $-0.02 -1.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 5 0.110 $0.55 $-1.65 -75.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.032 $0.16 $-2.58 -94.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 10 0.008 $0.08 $-4.81 -98.3%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.013 $0.06 $-2.28 -97.3%