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Trader leaderboard/nobody12138

nobody12138

0x5d2c7a78ce01fe6111a67bddea43bc0b9bf0baf2
PnL (30d)
+$32
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
206W / 230L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
208W / 245L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
470
across 340 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.10
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.11
$314 won / $282 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$23
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $207 · all-time $15,323

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.2% 206W/230L 340 $1,339
⚽ Sports 44.7% 17W/21L 28 $124
₿ Crypto 26.7% 4W/11L 11 $47
🎬 Culture 6.7% 1W/14L 11 $54
🏛 Politics 20.0% 2W/8L 9 $33
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 5 $15
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 5 0.995 $4.97 $1.06 +27.2%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 5 0.986 $4.93 $1.14 +30.2%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 5 0.885 $4.42 $0.52 +13.5%
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $0.12 +3.0%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No 5 0.765 $3.83 $-0.12 -3.2%
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes 6 0.665 $3.69 $0.75 +25.5%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 5 0.643 $3.21 $0.15 +5.1%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 3 0.984 $3.19 $0.17 +5.8%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No 7 0.445 $3.03 $0.10 +3.5%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.440 $2.20 $-0.30 -12.0%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 3 0.450 $1.16 $-0.85 -42.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 5 0.220 $1.10 $-2.85 -72.2%
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No 1 0.876 $0.99 $-0.02 -1.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 5 0.115 $0.57 $-1.62 -73.9%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.029 $0.14 $-2.60 -94.7%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.013 $0.06 $-2.28 -97.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 10 0.004 $0.04 $-4.86 -99.3%