| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
764 |
0.835 |
$638.02 |
$66.26 |
+11.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,261 |
0.455 |
$573.69 |
$-114.65 |
-16.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
605 |
0.885 |
$535.58 |
$49.88 |
+10.3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
416 |
0.915 |
$380.85 |
$45.81 |
+13.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
463 |
0.775 |
$359.14 |
$13.58 |
+3.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
1,142 |
0.295 |
$336.78 |
$-116.32 |
-25.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
329 |
0.815 |
$268.09 |
$49.23 |
+22.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
657 |
0.375 |
$246.49 |
$-30.36 |
-11.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
328 |
0.735 |
$241.41 |
$27.50 |
+12.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
261 |
0.745 |
$194.74 |
$30.97 |
+18.9% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
330 |
0.405 |
$133.60 |
$-14.75 |
-9.9% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
136 |
0.915 |
$124.08 |
$5.32 |
+4.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.855 |
$123.80 |
$22.44 |
+22.1% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.969 |
$106.40 |
$1.47 |
+1.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
87 |
0.920 |
$79.79 |
$4.48 |
+5.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.815 |
$65.19 |
$1.99 |
+3.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.635 |
$38.10 |
$-0.85 |
-2.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
No |
32 |
0.625 |
$20.31 |
$4.84 |
+31.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.815 |
$11.60 |
$0.92 |
+8.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.650 |
$9.16 |
$2.26 |
+32.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.710 |
$8.17 |
$0.46 |
+6.0% |