ynj4kznihdow
0x5c53bbdc3cd4ff877d7d3a41de95727fa9690109
PnL (30d)
−$23
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
24W / 33L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
27W / 35L
Trades (30d)
62
across 17 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.90
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.20
$6 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $3,915
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.955 |
$25.40 |
$0.40 |
+1.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.915 |
$20.11 |
$0.11 |
+0.6% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.945 |
$15.19 |
$0.21 |
+1.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
16 |
0.786 |
$12.31 |
$2.31 |
+23.1% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
11 |
0.964 |
$10.36 |
$0.36 |
+3.6% |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.955 |
$10.26 |
$0.26 |
+2.6% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
10 |
0.983 |
$10.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
11 |
0.835 |
$9.49 |
$-0.51 |
-5.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
40 |
0.155 |
$6.20 |
$-3.80 |
-38.0% |