PnL (30d)

−$740

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

35W / 1,417L · 209 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

35W / 1,417L · 209 open

Trades (30d)

1,661

across 295 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$3.36

avg win $2 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.02

$14 won / $754 lost

Reward / Risk

0.49

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$80

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	4.3% 487W/10,715L	2600	$464,701
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/66L	77	$7,807
💵 Economy	16.7% 9W/45L	49	$4,609
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/4L	47	$7,785
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/60L	46	$5,432
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/27L	14	$1,317
🤖 Tech	—	11	$1,330
🌤 Weather	3.2% 2W/61L	11	$2,412

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	100	0.580	$58.00	$-26.00	-31.0%
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	120	0.370	$44.40	$-24.00	-35.1%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	50	0.515	$25.75	$-2.75	-9.6%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	No	34	0.440	$14.96	$-0.34	-2.2%
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	Yes	50	0.280	$14.00	$-1.00	-6.7%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	27	0.513	$13.86	$-0.49	-3.4%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	No	65	0.165	$10.72	$-10.72	-50.0%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	27	0.385	$10.45	$-0.41	-3.8%
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	55	0.180	$9.90	$-5.50	-35.7%
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	Yes	7	0.215	$1.50	$-0.60	-28.3%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Tottenham?	Yes	28	0.037	$1.04	$-6.25	-85.8%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	No	10	0.071	$0.72	$-0.68	-48.6%