PnL (30d)

−$1,213

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$404

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

25W / 767L · 436 open

Win Return (30d)

4%

46W / 1,095L · 87 open

Trades (30d)

1,228

across 217 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$9.40

avg win $1 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.01

$8 won / $1,220 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$157

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	4.4% 487W/10,696L	2600	$464,701
🏛 Politics	3.8% 3W/75L	87	$9,077
💵 Economy	7.4% 4W/50L	58	$5,224
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/4L	55	$8,912
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/75L	53	$6,413
₿ Crypto	7.4% 2W/25L	17	$1,419
🤖 Tech	—	11	$1,462
🌤 Weather	3.2% 2W/61L	11	$2,412

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	No	70	0.445	$31.15	$-2.45	-7.3%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	No	34	0.440	$14.96	$-0.34	-2.2%
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	70	0.200	$14.00	$-5.60	-28.6%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	27	0.513	$13.86	$-0.49	-3.4%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	Yes	17	0.785	$13.73	$-0.44	-3.1%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	41	0.290	$11.98	$-0.83	-6.5%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	27	0.385	$10.45	$-0.41	-3.8%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	No	65	0.160	$10.40	$-11.05	-51.5%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	40	0.065	$2.60	$-1.00	-27.8%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Tottenham?	Yes	28	0.037	$1.04	$-6.25	-85.8%