| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.25 |
$2.75 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.935 |
$28.05 |
$0.15 |
+0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
50 |
0.540 |
$27.02 |
$-3.27 |
-10.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.635 |
$19.06 |
$-9.44 |
-33.1% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.915 |
$18.30 |
$-0.30 |
-1.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.10 |
$0.70 |
+4.0% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.785 |
$15.70 |
$2.30 |
+17.2% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.740 |
$14.80 |
$2.60 |
+21.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.375 |
$13.12 |
$-17.32 |
-56.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.205 |
$9.22 |
$-21.82 |
-70.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.885 |
$8.85 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.750 |
$7.50 |
$-0.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
10 |
0.530 |
$5.30 |
$-2.30 |
-30.3% |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
26 |
0.105 |
$2.75 |
$1.44 |
+110.0% |
| Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
3 |
0.345 |
$0.88 |
$0.04 |
+4.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
No |
10 |
0.005 |
$0.05 |
$-2.85 |
-98.1% |