| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.25 |
$2.75 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.935 |
$28.05 |
$0.15 |
+0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
50 |
0.540 |
$27.02 |
$-3.27 |
-10.8% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.915 |
$18.30 |
$-0.30 |
-1.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.895 |
$17.90 |
$0.50 |
+2.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.785 |
$15.70 |
$2.30 |
+17.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.491 |
$14.73 |
$-13.77 |
-48.3% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.735 |
$14.70 |
$2.50 |
+20.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.275 |
$9.62 |
$-20.82 |
-68.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.885 |
$8.85 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.180 |
$8.10 |
$-22.95 |
-73.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.750 |
$7.50 |
$-0.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
10 |
0.345 |
$3.45 |
$-4.15 |
-54.6% |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
26 |
0.090 |
$2.36 |
$1.05 |
+80.0% |
| Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
3 |
0.295 |
$0.75 |
$-0.09 |
-10.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
No |
10 |
0.009 |
$0.09 |
$-2.81 |
-97.1% |