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Trader leaderboard/neutralwave23

neutralwave23

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,188
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$131
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
140W / 292L · 87 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
175W / 334L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
519
across 169 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.21
avg win $44 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.62
$1,902 won / $3,090 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$170
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,628,501 · all-time $116,743,847

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.6% 43,976W/52,480L 26335 $7,163,884
₿ Crypto 40.0% 3,237W/4,855L 2676 $134,375
⚽ Sports 43.1% 1,938W/2,561L 1085 $648,612
🏛 Politics 60.3% 105W/69L 104 $39,920
🌤 Weather 41.5% 76W/107L 72 $8,593
🎬 Culture 43.2% 51W/67L 68 $2,907
💵 Economy 55.5% 61W/49L 51 $32,855
🤖 Tech 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $80
🔬 Science 2 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 21,809 0.985 $21,470.87 $1,572.95 +7.9%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 16,131 0.955 $15,405.15 $1,557.19 +11.2%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 16,785 0.900 $15,106.46 $2,847.00 +23.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 18,804 0.645 $12,128.84 $732.56 +6.4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 118,903 0.075 $8,977.15 $-6,041.44 -40.2%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 19,300 0.375 $7,237.37 $-2,002.76 -21.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 7,112 0.823 $5,849.22 $188.21 +3.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 5,718 0.945 $5,403.74 $282.50 +5.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 11,021 0.475 $5,240.38 $431.60 +9.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 8,838 0.545 $4,816.47 $-1,634.94 -25.3%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 5,939 0.775 $4,602.81 $676.99 +17.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 4,817 0.905 $4,359.53 $559.54 +14.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 4,537 0.961 $4,358.08 $209.20 +5.0%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 4,930 0.845 $4,166.21 $982.86 +30.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 5,920 0.675 $3,995.77 $343.64 +9.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4,277 0.885 $3,784.88 $338.47 +9.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 7,104 0.525 $3,729.82 $-339.63 -8.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 3,375 0.920 $3,104.96 $204.17 +7.0%
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? No 2,992 0.965 $2,885.62 $103.60 +3.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,603 0.245 $2,597.63 $-2,165.77 -45.5%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 8,361 0.298 $2,495.64 $1,490.56 +148.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 7,301 0.335 $2,445.95 $-1,599.10 -39.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 6,884 0.355 $2,443.88 $-923.84 -27.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 2,605 0.935 $2,435.30 $512.59 +26.7%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Petr Nesterov 2,834 0.775 $2,196.19 $807.76 +58.2%