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Trader leaderboard/neutralwave23

neutralwave23

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$50,133
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$31
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
11,782W / 14,558L · 338 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
11,985W / 14,656L · 37 open
Trades (30d)
26,678
across 10,519 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.81
avg win $28 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.74
$141,886 won / $192,020 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12,966
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,963,462 · all-time $117,103,827

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.9% 43,048W/50,718L 26396 $6,869,821
₿ Crypto 40.0% 3,358W/5,029L 2813 $139,918
⚽ Sports 44.9% 2,060W/2,525L 1115 $605,057
🏛 Politics 62.6% 87W/52L 102 $34,866
🌤 Weather 42.8% 86W/115L 77 $14,813
🎬 Culture 52.3% 57W/52L 71 $2,505
💵 Economy 47.4% 36W/40L 45 $30,718
🤖 Tech 16.7% 1W/5L 4 $74
🔬 Science 2 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 21,809 0.989 $21,558.11 $1,660.18 +8.3%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 16,131 0.955 $15,405.15 $1,557.19 +11.2%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 16,785 0.905 $15,190.38 $2,930.92 +23.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 18,804 0.645 $12,128.84 $732.56 +6.4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 135,536 0.068 $9,216.44 $-7,005.99 -43.2%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 19,300 0.375 $7,237.37 $-2,002.76 -21.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 11,021 0.566 $6,232.24 $1,423.46 +29.6%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 7,112 0.821 $5,838.56 $177.55 +3.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 5,718 0.945 $5,403.74 $282.50 +5.5%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 5,939 0.870 $5,167.02 $1,241.20 +31.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 8,838 0.545 $4,816.47 $-1,634.94 -25.3%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 4,817 0.915 $4,407.71 $607.71 +16.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 4,537 0.964 $4,371.69 $222.81 +5.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 5,920 0.705 $4,173.36 $521.23 +14.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 4,890 0.850 $4,156.69 $999.30 +31.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 7,792 0.495 $3,857.28 $-565.92 -12.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4,277 0.875 $3,742.11 $295.70 +8.6%
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06? No 3,794 0.875 $3,319.52 $18.97 +0.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 3,375 0.925 $3,121.83 $221.05 +7.6%
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? No 2,992 0.964 $2,882.63 $100.61 +3.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 8,361 0.298 $2,495.64 $1,490.56 +148.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 7,301 0.335 $2,445.95 $-1,599.10 -39.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 6,884 0.355 $2,443.88 $-923.84 -27.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 2,605 0.935 $2,435.30 $512.59 +26.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,603 0.225 $2,385.57 $-2,377.82 -49.9%