Trader
0x5ac8f582c98b998a9ef2e68148bd88780c742611
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 9L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 12L
Trades (30d)
12
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.53
· loss $4
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34 · all-time $24,300
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
62 |
0.835 |
$51.56 |
$7.99 |
+18.3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
59 |
0.786 |
$46.72 |
$8.76 |
+23.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.645 |
$14.33 |
$4.33 |
+43.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
41 |
0.165 |
$6.74 |
$-3.94 |
-36.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.964 |
$3.66 |
$0.62 |
+20.4% |