PnL (30d)

−$54

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-27.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

4W / 10L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

6W / 13L

Trades (30d)

19

across 11 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$6.72

avg win $1 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.03

$2 won / $56 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$56

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.6% 4W/10L	11	$207
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/9L	5	$108
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$11
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	62	0.845	$52.18	$8.61	+19.8%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	59	0.786	$46.72	$8.76	+23.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	22	0.655	$14.56	$4.56	+45.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	41	0.155	$6.34	$-4.34	-40.7%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	4	0.961	$3.65	$0.61	+20.1%