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Trader leaderboard/FFIE.

FFIE.

0x5a45565906b8478fe456a0d313ce8839b3e7f628
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$11,787
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,992
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+16.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
222W / 26L · 128 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
347W / 29L
Trades (30d)
376
across 23 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$841.90
avg win $1,082 · loss $601
Profit Factor
10.81
$12,988 won / $1,201 lost
Reward / Risk
1.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$160
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,843 · all-time $5,143,455

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.8% 279W/62L 58 $214,423
💵 Economy 86.3% 44W/7L 16 $47,965
₿ Crypto 86.0% 43W/7L 15 $47,866
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $1,184
🎬 Culture — 2 $1,261

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 8,973 0.925 $8,299.61 $1,242.32 +17.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 2,552 0.855 $2,182.24 $215.09 +10.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? Yes 2,144 0.865 $1,854.78 $81.73 +4.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? No 1,466 0.979 $1,434.96 $130.11 +10.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 1,142 0.971 $1,108.41 $23.41 +2.2%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026? No 1,045 0.979 $1,022.99 $79.80 +8.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? Yes 1,768 0.496 $877.76 $10.49 +1.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August? No 875 0.910 $796.60 $89.39 +12.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? No 798 0.955 $761.39 $8.84 +1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 735 0.969 $711.96 $13.96 +2.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of August 3 2026? No 653 0.955 $622.97 $44.45 +7.7%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 513 0.975 $500.24 $38.11 +8.2%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 3 2026? No 399 0.940 $375.38 $-11.98 -3.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August? No 414 0.860 $356.08 $12.42 +3.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 322 0.909 $292.31 $23.15 +8.6%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 218 0.797 $173.93 $-2.32 -1.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? Yes 496 0.207 $102.57 $-30.98 -23.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of August 3 2026? No 69 0.994 $68.34 $0.96 +1.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of August 3 2026? No 65 0.935 $60.96 $2.28 +3.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? No 71 0.835 $59.44 $0.36 +0.6%