PnL (30d)

+$6,153

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,116

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

131W / 26L · 128 open

Win Return (30d)

91%

259W / 26L

Trades (30d)

285

across 21 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$512.77

avg win $735 · loss $601

Profit Factor

6.12

$7,355 won / $1,201 lost

Reward / Risk

1.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$160

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	81.9% 280W/62L	58	$214,423
💵 Economy	86.3% 44W/7L	16	$47,965
₿ Crypto	86.0% 43W/7L	15	$47,866
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$1,184
🎬 Culture	—	2	$1,261

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	8,973	0.925	$8,299.61	$1,242.32	+17.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	2,552	0.890	$2,271.57	$304.42	+15.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	2,144	0.710	$1,522.42	$-250.63	-14.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,483	0.991	$1,469.74	$47.17	+3.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?	No	1,466	0.981	$1,438.63	$133.78	+10.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	1,108	0.992	$1,098.20	$30.68	+2.9%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?	No	1,045	0.989	$1,033.45	$90.26	+9.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?	Yes	1,768	0.522	$922.84	$55.57	+6.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	875	0.915	$800.98	$93.76	+13.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026?	No	798	0.943	$751.81	$-0.74	-0.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of August 3 2026?	No	653	0.952	$621.02	$42.49	+7.3%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026?	No	513	0.964	$494.59	$32.46	+7.0%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 3 2026?	No	399	0.940	$375.38	$-11.98	-3.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	414	0.850	$351.94	$8.28	+2.4%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	218	0.798	$174.04	$-2.21	-1.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	Yes	496	0.277	$137.25	$3.71	+2.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of August 3 2026?	No	69	0.994	$68.34	$0.96	+1.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of August 3 2026?	No	65	0.934	$60.93	$2.25	+3.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	No	71	0.845	$60.15	$1.07	+1.8%