| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.245 |
$31.85 |
$2.50 |
+8.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
27 |
0.715 |
$19.37 |
$-0.17 |
-0.9% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
37 |
0.460 |
$17.05 |
$-5.06 |
-22.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
26 |
0.620 |
$16.36 |
$-0.06 |
-0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
17 |
0.905 |
$15.74 |
$3.08 |
+24.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.625 |
$13.64 |
$-0.88 |
-6.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.835 |
$13.24 |
$1.92 |
+16.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
26 |
0.465 |
$12.09 |
$-0.54 |
-4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
26 |
0.445 |
$11.57 |
$-0.10 |
-0.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.545 |
$11.36 |
$-1.11 |
-8.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
12 |
0.870 |
$10.75 |
$1.79 |
+20.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.355 |
$7.49 |
$-0.61 |
-7.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
20 |
0.285 |
$5.82 |
$-3.12 |
-34.9% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.395 |
$5.13 |
$0.06 |
+1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.815 |
$5.13 |
$0.63 |
+13.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.245 |
$5.03 |
$-0.75 |
-13.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.155 |
$3.76 |
$-4.45 |
-54.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
26 |
0.105 |
$2.70 |
$-8.39 |
-75.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
17 |
0.155 |
$2.66 |
$-2.37 |
-47.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.345 |
$2.58 |
$0.06 |
+2.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.095 |
$2.36 |
$-6.35 |
-72.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.115 |
$0.57 |
$-0.34 |
-37.1% |