| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
No |
411 |
0.795 |
$327.22 |
$88.64 |
+37.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
458 |
0.445 |
$203.81 |
$-47.71 |
-19.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
168 |
0.977 |
$164.05 |
$10.96 |
+7.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
161 |
0.972 |
$156.42 |
$6.44 |
+4.3% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
125 |
0.935 |
$116.90 |
$7.14 |
+6.5% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
123 |
0.907 |
$111.56 |
$33.14 |
+42.3% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
456 |
0.240 |
$109.44 |
$-146.54 |
-57.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
109 |
0.945 |
$103.18 |
$5.67 |
+5.8% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.919 |
$102.98 |
$5.80 |
+6.0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
110 |
0.927 |
$101.92 |
$2.28 |
+2.3% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
102 |
0.952 |
$97.05 |
$6.97 |
+7.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
96 |
0.999 |
$95.86 |
$18.10 |
+23.3% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.915 |
$95.37 |
$-0.90 |
-0.9% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
92 |
0.980 |
$90.13 |
$15.75 |
+21.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
123 |
0.695 |
$85.47 |
$18.58 |
+27.8% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
88 |
0.940 |
$82.72 |
$17.84 |
+27.5% |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? |
No |
84 |
0.984 |
$82.66 |
$9.65 |
+13.2% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
84 |
0.982 |
$82.49 |
$3.44 |
+4.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
115 |
0.710 |
$81.65 |
$15.05 |
+22.6% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? |
Yes |
86 |
0.945 |
$81.27 |
$6.45 |
+8.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
128 |
0.625 |
$80.00 |
$-33.27 |
-29.4% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
81 |
0.960 |
$78.18 |
$4.37 |
+5.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
88 |
0.865 |
$76.12 |
$1.45 |
+1.9% |
| Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? |
No |
78 |
0.973 |
$75.89 |
$4.18 |
+5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
122 |
0.615 |
$74.90 |
$-19.73 |
-20.9% |