PnL (30d)

+$12,030

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$435

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

20,533W / 10,824L · 5,261 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

22,537W / 14,081L

Trades (30d)

36,618

across 138 markets · ~265 per market

EV / position

+$107.41

avg win $353 · loss $245

Profit Factor

2.07

$23,293 won / $11,263 lost

Reward / Risk

1.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,609

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.1% 41,490W/26,426L	306	$721,468
🏛 Politics	71.2% 10,097W/4,088L	61	$135,430
🎬 Culture	71.2% 10,097W/4,088L	61	$135,430

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

67 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,781	0.435	$2,514.61	$1,586.56	+171.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	7,080	0.234	$1,656.81	$995.69	+150.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	7,696	0.215	$1,654.56	$821.41	+98.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,049	0.075	$303.70	$80.66	+36.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,566	0.185	$289.74	$122.11	+72.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,285	0.185	$237.68	$140.30	+144.1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,523	0.145	$220.82	$128.12	+138.2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,926	0.095	$182.92	$36.17	+24.7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	633	0.265	$167.64	$96.65	+136.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	6,244	0.025	$152.99	$-24.90	-14.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	595	0.155	$92.17	$44.55	+93.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,087	0.080	$86.44	$9.64	+12.6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	3,001	0.027	$81.02	$-7.97	-9.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	87	0.935	$80.89	$0.43	+0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,199	0.065	$77.91	$30.36	+63.8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,551	0.034	$52.74	$-7.68	-12.7%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	51	0.815	$41.24	$-0.26	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	208	0.185	$38.48	$9.99	+35.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,911	0.005	$32.51	$-161.60	-83.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,160	0.014	$30.23	$-40.39	-57.2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	419	0.065	$27.27	$-12.74	-31.9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,032	0.006	$26.21	$-77.48	-74.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9,401	0.003	$23.50	$-231.75	-90.8%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9,480	0.002	$14.22	$-235.88	-94.3%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,979	0.004	$6.93	$-51.04	-88.1%