PnL (30d)

+$11,230

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$465

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

41,490W / 26,426L · 7,131 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

43,931W / 31,116L

Trades (30d)

75,047

across 306 markets · ~245 per market

EV / position

+$43.36

avg win $282 · loss $375

Profit Factor

1.32

$46,450 won / $35,219 lost

Reward / Risk

0.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,875

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.1% 41,490W/26,426L	306	$721,468
🏛 Politics	71.2% 10,097W/4,088L	61	$135,430
🎬 Culture	71.2% 10,097W/4,088L	61	$135,430

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,909	0.445	$2,629.64	$1,703.69	+184.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	7,822	0.225	$1,760.01	$943.14	+115.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	7,271	0.223	$1,621.34	$966.88	+147.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,066	0.075	$379.94	$102.13	+36.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,366	0.185	$252.74	$121.11	+92.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,361	0.175	$238.19	$135.03	+130.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,602	0.135	$216.26	$118.75	+121.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	785	0.260	$204.07	$118.35	+138.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,813	0.028	$159.87	$-17.01	-9.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,249	0.105	$131.11	$52.04	+65.8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	595	0.155	$92.17	$44.55	+93.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,151	0.072	$83.48	$2.15	+2.6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,213	0.065	$78.84	$30.72	+63.8%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	3,127	0.024	$73.49	$-19.25	-20.8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,551	0.035	$54.29	$-6.12	-10.1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	484	0.070	$33.86	$-12.17	-26.4%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,160	0.015	$32.39	$-38.23	-54.1%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,032	0.007	$28.22	$-75.46	-72.8%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	157	0.175	$27.43	$9.65	+54.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,875	0.004	$26.44	$-168.11	-86.4%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9,392	0.003	$23.48	$-231.41	-90.8%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9,470	0.002	$14.21	$-235.52	-94.3%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,979	0.004	$6.93	$-51.04	-88.1%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	12,556	0.001	$6.28	$-476.65	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	12,356	0.001	$6.18	$-469.05	-98.7%