residual
0x58c028e7c41ba7ef2bde2142cd371cf491661c8e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$45
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
13W / 11L · 271 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
13W / 11L · 271 open
Trades (30d)
295
across 6 markets · ~49 per market
EV / position
+$9.08
avg win $197 · loss $116
Profit Factor
1.13
$393 won / $348 lost
Reward / Risk
1.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$307
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,680 · all-time $1,257,960
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
668 |
0.875 |
$584.85 |
$56.81 |
+10.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
550 |
0.395 |
$216.97 |
$-59.12 |
-21.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
400 |
0.195 |
$78.00 |
$-98.00 |
-55.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
750 |
0.083 |
$61.87 |
$-43.12 |
-41.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? |
No |
700 |
0.080 |
$55.65 |
$18.55 |
+50.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? |
No |
134 |
0.223 |
$29.85 |
$12.04 |
+67.6% |