residual
0x58c028e7c41ba7ef2bde2142cd371cf491661c8e
PnL (30d)
−$3,348
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
547W / 459L · 346 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
595W / 486L · 271 open
Trades (30d)
1,352
across 62 markets · ~22 per market
EV / position
−$60.87
avg win $250 · loss $284
Profit Factor
0.63
$5,741 won / $9,088 lost
Reward / Risk
0.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$307
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,543 · all-time $1,257,823
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
805 |
0.885 |
$712.49 |
$76.48 |
+12.0% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
550 |
0.395 |
$216.97 |
$-59.12 |
-21.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
400 |
0.225 |
$90.00 |
$-86.00 |
-48.9% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
750 |
0.090 |
$67.50 |
$-37.50 |
-35.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? |
No |
700 |
0.081 |
$56.35 |
$19.25 |
+51.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? |
No |
134 |
0.228 |
$30.59 |
$12.78 |
+71.8% |