RadarMentions
0x5874f18a2ca6558ac8671f491f3f99498fd36b11
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1,948
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$173
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+52.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
42W / 7L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
48W / 8L
Trades (30d)
56
across 7 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$649.37
avg win $2,852 · loss $452
Profit Factor
3.16
$2,852 won / $904 lost
Reward / Risk
6.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,949 · all-time $1,589,233
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.345 |
$689.80 |
$-20.20 |
-2.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15,922 |
0.038 |
$605.03 |
$-159.20 |
-20.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,111 |
0.151 |
$319.81 |
$25.28 |
+8.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,916 |
0.125 |
$239.49 |
$-28.74 |
-10.7% |