PnL (30d)

−$2,165

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$235

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-30.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

45W / 23L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

54W / 25L

Trades (30d)

79

across 15 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$270.58

avg win $1,273 · loss $1,197

Profit Factor

0.64

$3,818 won / $5,983 lost

Reward / Risk

1.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,649

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.2% 45W/23L	15	$20,963
🏛 Politics	85.7% 42W/7L	4	$11,085
🎬 Culture	85.7% 42W/7L	3	$5,857

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.365	$730.00	$20.00	+2.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	15,922	0.042	$660.76	$-103.48	-13.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,111	0.146	$309.26	$14.72	+5.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,916	0.145	$277.81	$9.58	+3.6%