PnL (30d)

−$11

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

6%

87W / 1,358L · 67 open

Win Return (30d)

6%

93W / 1,366L · 53 open

Trades (30d)

1,512

across 822 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.01

avg win $15 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.99

$727 won / $738 lost

Reward / Risk

14.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$43

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	7.6% 343W/4,154L	2442	$3,798
🌤 Weather	3.5% 19W/524L	308	$238

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

109 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	22	0.995	$21.38	$12.01	+128.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.992	$19.83	$14.58	+277.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.985	$19.70	$16.30	+479.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.525	$10.50	$3.10	+41.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.515	$10.30	$2.70	+35.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.485	$9.70	$1.21	+14.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.480	$9.60	$5.00	+108.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	24	0.380	$9.21	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.445	$8.99	$1.31	+17.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.385	$7.70	$0.10	+1.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	20	0.370	$7.40	$-0.20	-2.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	20	0.350	$7.00	$-0.20	-2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.295	$5.90	$1.10	+22.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.285	$5.70	$0.90	+18.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	12	0.405	$4.86	$0.30	+6.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.230	$4.60	$0.80	+21.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.175	$3.50	$-1.90	-35.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.155	$3.10	$-1.81	-36.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.465	$2.41	$0.08	+3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.120	$2.40	$-1.20	-33.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.045	$0.90	$-2.10	-70.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.025	$0.50	$-2.10	-80.8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 6?	Yes	16	0.025	$0.40	$-0.24	-37.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.015	$0.31	$-0.09	-22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.015	$0.30	$-6.78	-95.8%