PnL (30d)

+$75

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

8%

343W / 4,154L · 202 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

368W / 4,179L · 152 open

Trades (30d)

4,699

across 2,442 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.03

avg win $13 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.03

$2,502 won / $2,427 lost

Reward / Risk

11.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$71

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	7.6% 343W/4,154L	2442	$3,798
🌤 Weather	3.5% 21W/572L	335	$289

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.992	$19.83	$14.58	+277.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.985	$19.70	$16.30	+479.4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	22	0.890	$19.14	$9.77	+104.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.475	$9.50	$1.90	+25.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.470	$9.40	$0.91	+10.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	24	0.375	$9.09	$-0.12	-1.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.445	$8.90	$4.30	+93.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.440	$8.89	$1.21	+15.8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.440	$8.80	$1.40	+18.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.415	$8.30	$0.70	+9.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	20	0.365	$7.30	$0.10	+1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.290	$5.80	$1.00	+20.8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.270	$5.40	$0.60	+12.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.255	$5.10	$1.30	+34.2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	12	0.405	$4.86	$0.30	+6.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.185	$3.70	$-1.70	-31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.185	$3.70	$0.10	+2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	Yes	20	0.165	$3.30	$-1.61	-32.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.085	$1.70	$-5.38	-76.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.050	$1.00	$-2.00	-66.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.025	$0.50	$-2.10	-80.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	21	0.015	$0.31	$-0.79	-71.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	22	0.011	$0.23	$-1.44	-86.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.011	$0.23	$-0.17	-42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	11	0.020	$0.22	$-0.22	-50.0%