Trader
0x56f666e188707f415ef2d514fd348e4babf0cda7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
4W / 7L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
4W / 15L
Trades (30d)
19
across 11 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.21
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
1.64
$4 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
4.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,518 · all-time $122,100
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.962 |
$140.00 |
$-0.57 |
-0.4% |
| Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05? |
No |
131 |
1.000 |
$130.51 |
$61.34 |
+88.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
128 |
0.973 |
$124.55 |
$-0.38 |
-0.3% |
| AC Milan vs. Inter Milano: O/U 0.5 |
Over |
98 |
1.000 |
$97.72 |
$12.20 |
+14.3% |
| ITF Fano: Pietro Romeo Scomparin vs Massimo Giunta |
Massimo Giunta |
104 |
0.915 |
$95.31 |
$-4.69 |
-4.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
72 |
0.205 |
$14.85 |
$-50.17 |
-77.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.195 |
$1.04 |
$-2.43 |
-70.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
73 |
0.001 |
$0.04 |
$-16.02 |
-99.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
7 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.02 |
-83.5% |