PnL (30d)

+$349

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$72

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

246W / 175L · 18 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

247W / 192L

Trades (30d)

439

across 219 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.66

avg win $24 · loss $25

Profit Factor

1.15

$2,755 won / $2,406 lost

Reward / Risk

0.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$147

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.4% 246W/175L	219	$9,636
⚽ Sports	62.6% 62W/37L	46	$2,322
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$4
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	146	0.960	$139.79	$-0.78	-0.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	128	0.968	$123.85	$-1.09	-0.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	72	0.215	$15.58	$-49.44	-76.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	5	0.215	$1.15	$-2.33	-66.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	73	0.005	$0.36	$-15.69	-97.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	7	0.008	$0.05	$0.03	+165.9%