PnL (30d)

−$456

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-20.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

20W / 5L

Win Return (30d)

80%

20W / 5L

Trades (30d)

25

across 16 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$28.49

avg win $10 · loss $295

Profit Factor

0.23

$135 won / $591 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.8% 77W/16L	56	$9,449
🏛 Politics	—	5	$415
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$207

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	975	0.385	$375.36	$35.36	+10.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	361	0.963	$347.74	$29.39	+9.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	468	0.715	$334.54	$9.84	+3.0%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	1,659	0.165	$273.72	$-1.78	-0.6%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	132	0.176	$23.16	$-6.84	-22.8%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	22	0.770	$16.74	$6.74	+67.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	18	0.850	$14.94	$-0.06	-0.4%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	12	0.875	$10.19	$0.19	+1.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	12	0.835	$9.71	$-0.29	-2.9%
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	1	0.715	$0.86	$-0.14	-13.8%