PnL (30d)

+$110

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$398

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

77W / 16L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

89W / 38L

Trades (30d)

127

across 56 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.45

avg win $27 · loss $109

Profit Factor

1.13

$982 won / $871 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$170

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.8% 77W/16L	56	$9,449
🏛 Politics	—	5	$415
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$207

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	975	0.385	$375.36	$35.36	+10.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	361	0.935	$337.63	$19.27	+6.1%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	468	0.715	$334.54	$9.84	+3.0%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	1,659	0.170	$282.02	$6.51	+2.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	132	0.175	$23.09	$-6.91	-23.0%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	22	0.715	$15.54	$5.54	+55.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	18	0.845	$14.85	$-0.15	-1.0%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	12	0.875	$10.19	$0.19	+1.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	12	0.835	$9.71	$-0.29	-2.9%
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	1	0.715	$0.86	$-0.14	-13.8%