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Trader leaderboard/pengu-n

pengu-n

0x55ab6191d1d3609f6ffb12f17d56fe9453da4f88
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$40
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
18W / 26L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
25W / 26L
Trades (30d)
51
across 11 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$5.03
avg win $25 · loss $35
Profit Factor
0.71
$100 won / $140 lost
Reward / Risk
0.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $58,625 · all-time $2,315,161

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 2,964W/3,765L 1335 $140,918
⚽ Sports 47.3% 568W/634L 371 $23,723
🎬 Culture 75.0% 39W/13L 21 $2,303
🤖 Tech 92.9% 39W/3L 12 $1,501
🏛 Politics 50.0% 1W/1L 5 $331
💵 Economy 10.0% 1W/9L 5 $551

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes 859 0.790 $678.93 $51.56 +8.2%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 967 0.405 $391.68 $36.97 +10.4%
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 0 - 1 Universitatea Craiova CS? No 416 0.885 $368.16 $-9.04 -2.4%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 369 0.938 $346.12 $14.37 +4.3%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? No 276 0.855 $235.78 $9.90 +4.4%
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 207 0.954 $197.01 $18.52 +10.4%
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes 225 0.770 $173.25 $13.50 +8.5%
ITF Chacabuco: Lorena Schaedel vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele Justina Gonzalez Daniele 300 0.500 $150.00 $-9.00 -5.7%
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No 165 0.815 $134.78 $32.75 +32.1%
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No 346 0.370 $128.14 $-52.86 -29.2%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 179 0.595 $106.50 $4.47 +4.4%
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) Mateusz Gamrot 200 0.435 $87.00 $13.00 +17.6%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 94 0.915 $86.01 $10.13 +13.3%
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? Yes 320 0.265 $84.72 $48.83 +136.1%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Yes 1,040 0.077 $80.08 $27.39 +52.0%
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11? No 189 0.300 $56.70 $-10.99 -16.2%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 100 0.522 $52.50 $43.43 +479.1%
Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 50 0.951 $47.52 $3.21 +7.2%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No 77 0.595 $45.93 $3.38 +7.9%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? Yes 49 0.835 $40.91 $0.35 +0.9%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No 60 0.672 $40.32 $-0.18 -0.4%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers Kia Tigers 78 0.440 $34.21 $30.69 +874.3%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 339 0.095 $32.22 $-12.66 -28.2%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions LG Twins 61 0.515 $31.61 $19.66 +164.6%
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes 66 0.467 $30.82 $-5.12 -14.2%