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Trader leaderboard/pengu-n

pengu-n

0x55ab6191d1d3609f6ffb12f17d56fe9453da4f88
PnL (30d)
−$557
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$307
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
2,956W / 3,839L · 351 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
3,107W / 3,882L · 157 open
Trades (30d)
7,146
across 1,290 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.45
avg win $47 · loss $41
Profit Factor
0.98
$26,562 won / $27,120 lost
Reward / Risk
1.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$818
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,025 · all-time $2,302,561

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.5% 2,956W/3,839L 1290 $143,062
⚽ Sports 44.4% 544W/680L 372 $23,171
🎬 Culture 43.6% 24W/31L 23 $2,302
🤖 Tech 53.3% 24W/21L 16 $1,752
🏛 Politics 50.0% 1W/1L 5 $331
💵 Economy 10.0% 1W/9L 5 $551

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes 859 0.790 $678.93 $51.56 +8.2%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? Yes 632 0.950 $600.72 $48.48 +8.8%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 967 0.405 $391.68 $36.97 +10.4%
Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call? Yes 279 0.905 $252.75 $21.23 +9.2%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? No 276 0.845 $233.03 $7.14 +3.2%
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 207 0.952 $196.70 $18.21 +10.2%
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No 346 0.480 $166.24 $-14.76 -8.2%
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call? Yes 163 0.935 $152.35 $23.35 +18.1%
ITF Chacabuco: Lorena Schaedel vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele Justina Gonzalez Daniele 300 0.505 $151.50 $-7.50 -4.7%
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No 165 0.845 $139.76 $37.73 +37.0%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 179 0.630 $112.77 $10.74 +10.5%
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? Yes 297 0.335 $99.42 $64.68 +186.2%
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) Mateusz Gamrot 200 0.435 $87.00 $13.00 +17.6%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? Yes 166 0.435 $72.21 $-30.71 -29.8%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? No 60 0.905 $54.30 $4.50 +9.0%
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11? No 189 0.285 $53.85 $-13.84 -20.5%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 100 0.522 $52.50 $43.43 +479.1%
Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 50 0.950 $47.50 $3.18 +7.2%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 500 0.095 $47.46 $7.23 +18.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No 77 0.590 $45.54 $2.99 +7.0%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? Yes 49 0.840 $41.16 $0.60 +1.5%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No 60 0.676 $40.56 $0.06 +0.1%
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05? No 50 0.750 $37.50 $3.50 +10.3%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers Kia Tigers 78 0.435 $33.82 $30.31 +863.2%
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes 66 0.491 $32.41 $-3.53 -9.8%