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Trader leaderboard/53asdad

53asdad

0x54c6725136cc1db91603941d49506085e428e5c2
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
469W / 55L · 296 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
647W / 173L
Trades (30d)
820
across 46 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
−$0.16
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.77
$6 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,317 · all-time $295,975

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.3% 528W/444L 184 $2,234
🏛 Politics 32 $84
⚽ Sports 20 $32
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 13 $105
🎬 Culture 10 $31
₿ Crypto 9 $29
🤖 Tech 3 $17
🔬 Science 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

154 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 18 0.428 $7.70 $6.98 +971.2%
Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 22 0.280 $6.15 $4.61 +299.3%
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes 13 0.440 $5.59 $3.43 +158.8%
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No 7 0.750 $5.58 $1.32 +30.9%
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 21 0.255 $5.40 $0.51 +10.5%
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? No 6 0.885 $5.14 $0.15 +3.0%
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 8 0.590 $4.52 $0.38 +9.3%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 6 0.735 $4.38 $0.49 +12.5%
Did an engine failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 13 0.345 $4.38 $3.24 +283.2%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes 10 0.418 $4.25 $-0.71 -14.3%
Will Billie Eilish perform at Coachella 2027? Yes 7 0.600 $4.17 $2.22 +114.3%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? No 14 0.275 $3.99 $0.34 +9.4%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 7 0.595 $3.99 $-0.21 -5.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 4 0.988 $3.96 $1.76 +79.7%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 5 0.705 $3.63 $0.64 +21.4%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 5 0.745 $3.53 $0.36 +11.2%
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 6 0.575 $3.43 $-0.01 -0.2%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes 49 0.068 $3.30 $-1.69 -33.9%
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 9 0.350 $3.29 $2.73 +483.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes 119 0.028 $3.28 $2.80 +583.7%
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? No 4 0.875 $3.20 $0.64 +25.2%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 4 0.730 $3.19 $1.38 +75.9%
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.560 $3.18 $-0.05 -1.5%
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 4 0.865 $3.13 $1.13 +56.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.835 $3.11 $1.03 +49.4%