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Trader leaderboard/53asdad

53asdad

0x54c6725136cc1db91603941d49506085e428e5c2
PnL (30d)
−$13
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
528W / 444L · 1,205 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
1,306W / 857L · 14 open
Trades (30d)
2,177
across 184 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$0.43
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.68
$26 won / $39 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,204 · all-time $295,861

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.3% 528W/444L 184 $2,234
🏛 Politics 33 $104
⚽ Sports 21 $35
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 17 $114
₿ Crypto 10 $33
🎬 Culture 10 $34
🤖 Tech 3 $17
🔬 Science 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

154 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 18 0.432 $7.77 $7.05 +981.2%
Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 22 0.280 $6.15 $4.61 +299.3%
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 21 0.265 $5.62 $0.73 +14.9%
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No 7 0.735 $5.47 $1.21 +28.3%
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? No 6 0.886 $5.14 $0.15 +3.1%
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 8 0.590 $4.52 $0.38 +9.3%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 6 0.735 $4.38 $0.49 +12.5%
Did an engine failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 13 0.345 $4.38 $3.24 +283.2%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes 10 0.418 $4.25 $-0.71 -14.3%
Will Billie Eilish perform at Coachella 2027? Yes 7 0.600 $4.17 $2.22 +114.3%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? No 14 0.275 $3.99 $0.34 +9.4%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 7 0.595 $3.99 $-0.21 -5.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 4 0.988 $3.96 $1.76 +79.8%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 5 0.715 $3.68 $0.69 +23.1%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 5 0.745 $3.53 $0.36 +11.2%
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 6 0.575 $3.43 $-0.01 -0.2%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes 49 0.068 $3.30 $-1.69 -33.9%
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 9 0.350 $3.29 $2.73 +483.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes 119 0.028 $3.28 $2.80 +583.7%
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? No 4 0.875 $3.20 $0.64 +25.2%
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.560 $3.18 $-0.05 -1.5%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 4 0.725 $3.17 $1.35 +74.6%
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 4 0.865 $3.13 $1.13 +56.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.835 $3.11 $1.03 +49.4%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? No 12 0.255 $3.01 $0.17 +6.2%