jzyzim4x76bw
0x54c0fc9027cf8ceb6c90880e8182560bb58feafc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$48
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
11W / 4L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
15W / 4L
Trades (30d)
19
across 4 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$15.94
avg win $3 · loss $25
Profit Factor
0.05
$3 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$50
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61 · all-time $153,996
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
43 |
0.835 |
$35.59 |
$2.31 |
+6.9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
31 |
0.927 |
$28.44 |
$2.96 |
+11.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.655 |
$19.36 |
$6.94 |
+55.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
24 |
0.786 |
$18.78 |
$3.50 |
+22.9% |