PnL (30d)

−$43

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

33W / 5L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

43W / 5L

Trades (30d)

48

across 8 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$7.14

avg win $5 · loss $20

Profit Factor

0.27

$16 won / $59 lost

Reward / Risk

0.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	86.8% 33W/5L	8	$480
🏛 Politics	73.3% 11W/4L	4	$250
💵 Economy	100.0% 11W/0L	1	$166
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	43	0.845	$36.01	$2.74	+8.2%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	31	0.927	$28.44	$2.96	+11.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	30	0.655	$19.36	$6.94	+55.9%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	24	0.786	$18.78	$3.50	+22.9%