| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
57,486 |
0.555 |
$31,904.55 |
$4,201.51 |
+15.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
35,402 |
0.865 |
$30,623.10 |
$1,370.92 |
+4.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
155,445 |
0.165 |
$25,648.36 |
$-9,428.18 |
-26.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
24,148 |
0.976 |
$23,568.80 |
$2,613.36 |
+12.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
96,047 |
0.225 |
$21,610.58 |
$-34,348.63 |
-61.4% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
892,945 |
0.024 |
$21,430.69 |
$9,492.01 |
+79.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
19,565 |
0.865 |
$16,923.79 |
$693.00 |
+4.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
29,160 |
0.465 |
$13,559.40 |
$-347.30 |
-2.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
26,638 |
0.405 |
$10,788.36 |
$-133.19 |
-1.2% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,616,697 |
0.006 |
$10,508.53 |
$-229.57 |
-2.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
155,243 |
0.065 |
$10,090.81 |
$-6,992.47 |
-40.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
12,796 |
0.555 |
$7,101.98 |
$734.18 |
+11.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
17,790 |
0.325 |
$5,781.64 |
$-266.84 |
-4.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
49,962 |
0.115 |
$5,745.69 |
$-37,724.24 |
-86.8% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
106,708 |
0.049 |
$5,228.71 |
$-234.54 |
-4.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
24,390 |
0.145 |
$3,536.53 |
$-12,521.67 |
-78.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
3,310 |
0.515 |
$1,704.57 |
$-84.62 |
-4.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
45,900 |
0.013 |
$619.65 |
$-7.85 |
-1.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12,918 |
0.036 |
$471.51 |
$-2,558.07 |
-84.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Yes |
12,155 |
0.037 |
$455.81 |
$-623.56 |
-57.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
464 |
0.850 |
$394.44 |
$8.59 |
+2.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
372 |
0.961 |
$356.87 |
$82.55 |
+30.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
28,517 |
0.002 |
$42.78 |
$-345.43 |
-89.0% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
Yes |
87 |
0.120 |
$10.45 |
$-12.36 |
-54.2% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
8 |
1.000 |
$8.44 |
$3.16 |
+59.7% |