xiaojiren
0x537263fdfc15e4e967e63c0c783f22f549e74b1f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,118
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
36W / 2L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
41W / 23L
Trades (30d)
64
across 4 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$558.76
avg win $1,382 · loss $264
Profit Factor
5.23
$1,382 won / $264 lost
Reward / Risk
5.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,249 · all-time $475,402
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,300 |
0.927 |
$1,205.38 |
$152.57 |
+14.5% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
1,186 |
0.945 |
$1,120.03 |
$90.77 |
+8.8% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
440 |
0.928 |
$408.11 |
$18.11 |
+4.6% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31? |
Yes |
209 |
0.954 |
$199.70 |
$9.21 |
+4.8% |