PnL (30d)

+$1,263

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$126

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

42W / 5L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

62W / 26L

Trades (30d)

88

across 11 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$252.54

avg win $513 · loss $139

Profit Factor

5.56

$1,540 won / $277 lost

Reward / Risk

3.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.4% 42W/5L	11	$13,998
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$1,317
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$813
₿ Crypto	—	1	$361

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	1,300	0.927	$1,205.38	$152.57	+14.5%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	1,186	0.946	$1,121.21	$91.96	+8.9%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	Yes	440	0.928	$408.11	$18.11	+4.6%
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	209	0.952	$199.28	$8.79	+4.6%