PnL (30d)

+$76

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

101W / 32L · 23 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

113W / 43L

Trades (30d)

156

across 51 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$1.81

avg win $4 · loss $5

Profit Factor

2.38

$131 won / $55 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.3% 249W/100L	162	$14,609
🏛 Politics	100.0% 24W/0L	19	$2,433
🎬 Culture	100.0% 24W/0L	19	$2,433
💵 Economy	—	1	$10
🤖 Tech	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	223	0.983	$218.89	$8.89	+4.2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	165	0.983	$161.95	$11.95	+8.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	59	0.925	$54.41	$4.41	+8.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	52	0.994	$51.39	$1.39	+2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	54	0.955	$51.34	$1.34	+2.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	52	0.972	$50.23	$0.23	+0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	53	0.920	$49.01	$-0.99	-2.0%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	22	0.890	$19.56	$-0.44	-2.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	10	0.976	$9.99	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	10	0.957	$9.97	$-0.03	-0.3%